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Gilgit-Baltistan: Pakistan’s North Pole Under Siege

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There is no denying that Mother Earth is undergoing a steady yet alarming transformation under the crushing weight of the horrific realities of climate change. Scientific reports, weather patterns, and ground realities all point toward a planet in the throes of environmental upheaval. Pakistan is counted among the countries facing some of the severest consequences of this crisis, not only because of its geographic vulnerability but also due to its dependence on climate-sensitive resources.

Nowhere is this more evident than in Gilgit-Baltistan, the mountainous region in Pakistan’s far north, often referred to as the country’s “North Pole” for its vast snow and glacier reserves. These glaciers feed the mighty Indus River system, the lifeline of Pakistan’s agriculture, energy, and drinking water supply. The devastation witnessed here—particularly during the past summer—has been unprecedented in both scale and intensity. Flash floods, sudden cloudbursts, and catastrophic glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) swept through valleys, obliterating homes, destroying farmland, and cutting off communities. Entire livelihoods were lost in a matter of hours, while the human toll in terms of lives claimed and families displaced remains a grim reminder of nature’s fury.

This raises a troubling question: what factors, beyond the already well-known drivers of global climate change, may be accelerating snow and glacier melt in this high-altitude region? Climate change itself—driven by rising global temperatures—is undoubtedly the prime culprit. However, local dynamics may be compounding its effects in ways that deserve closer scrutiny.

Over the past decade, and especially in recent years, Gilgit-Baltistan has seen an extraordinary surge in tourism. Official and unofficial estimates suggest that over one million tourists now visit the region annually, drawn by its majestic mountains, pristine lakes, and unique culture. While tourism has brought economic opportunities and a degree of prosperity to local communities, it has also introduced new environmental pressures.

Foremost among these is the sharp increase in vehicular traffic. Hundreds of thousands of cars, vans, jeeps, and buses ply the region’s roads during the tourist season, in addition to the heavy trucks engaged in overland trade along the Karakoram Highway linking Pakistan and China. These vehicles, often older models lacking modern emission controls, release thick plumes of exhaust that hang over valleys and mountain passes. The resulting air pollution is a stark departure from the region’s traditionally clean atmosphere.

The role of such localized pollution in accelerating glacier melt should not be underestimated. Scientific studies from other parts of the world have shown that black carbon—soot produced by diesel engines and other combustion sources—can settle on snow and ice, darkening the surface and reducing its ability to reflect sunlight. This increases heat absorption and speeds up melting, even in areas where air temperatures remain relatively low. Whether a similar process is now underway in Gilgit-Baltistan is a question that warrants urgent investigation.

Ultimately, the interplay between global climate forces and local human activity could be creating a dangerous feedback loop. Rising temperatures melt glaciers, which trigger floods, which damage infrastructure, which in turn requires reconstruction—bringing in more machinery, more fuel consumption, and more emissions. Breaking this cycle will require more than reactive disaster relief; it demands proactive environmental management, sustainable tourism practices, and coordinated scientific research.

For now, the question remains in the hands of environmentalists and climatologists: are the unusual levels of vehicular emissions in Gilgit-Baltistan becoming a fundamental catalyst in worsening the region’s climate-related disasters? The answer could have profound implications not only for the people of this region but for Pakistan’s environmental security as a whole.

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